There will be extreme variability in the day-to-day forecast, including extremely cold days in the South, as well as drier weeks in the North.” But remember: This is a seasonal outlook - not the day-to-day forecast. Even with a stronger monsoon season in the Southwest, that wasn’t enough to quell the drought. “There tends to be below-normal precipitation along the southern tier of the US, and with that being the expectation for what we are favoring in the outlook, we do expect the drought to persist along many places in the Southwest,” Gottschalck said. La Niña could impact the drought “significantly,” NOAA said. CNN.com has an overview here’s a clip: “… A wetter-than-normal season is forecast for portions of the Midwest, Ohio Valley and New England, as well, NOAA said. Official NOAA Forecast Includes Possible Impacts of Brewing La Nina. But it’s bringing wind gusts of up to 60-70 mph and greater than 40-foot waves off the coasts of northern California, Oregon, Washington and British Columbia…” The storm is associated with a record-strong “bomb cyclone” off the Pacific Northwest, which was forecast to remain at sea. The storm system claimed the lives of two people in Washington state after a tree fell on a vehicle amid powerful winds Sunday. It’s triggered widespread power outages, flooding and mudslides. The atmospheric river, packing large amounts of moisture, was causing Northern California to whiplash from drought to flood, as it slowly moved south overnight. Like flipping on a light switch, according to a post at : “ A series of powerful “atmospheric river” storms are delivering historic amounts of rainfall across parts of drought-stricken California and the Pacific Northwest. “Atmospheric River” Swings Northern California from Drought to Flood. Satellite view of the bomb cyclone swirling off the coast of the Pacific Northwest and the atmospheric river affecting California on Oct. Rapid City gets the Golden Snow Shovel Award with over 5” of snow the only Minnesota reporting station seeing flurries so far this month is Duluth. We’ll see a few hardier shots of Canadian air the first week of November, but GFS model guidance suggests a return of ridging over the northern Rockies and southern Canada in roughly 2 weeks, as a classic omega-block pattern proves resilient, with a tendency toward stormy weather for the east and west coast. Mild(er) Signal Reemerges by Mid-November. Temperatures will trend cooler next week with a run of 40s likely.ĮCMWF Temperatures for MSP NOAA GFS Temperatures for MSP Expect 50s this week, even with the rain Wednesday and Thursday, with a slight chance of sampling 60 degrees Saturday afternoon. The soggy remains of the storm that battered the west coast will weaken as they cross the Rockies, but hold together long enough for an extended rain event (yep, all rain this time around) Wednesday into Thursday with potentially significant, 1-inch-plus rainfall amounts by Friday morning.īack To The 50s. Tuesday Future Clouds/Precipitation Praedictixįine Tuesday – Rain Arrives Wednesday. Saturday looks nice with highs near 60F, but a cooler, vaguely horrifying breeze may blow on Sunday. Will we make up for that in February 2022? No idea, but nothing surprises me anymore.Ī soaking rain is likely Wednesday- Thursday with 1-2 inch amounts. Then again, October weather has been typical of September: 7F warmer than average at MSP with 13 days above 70F and only one night below freezing. No small feat, considering today’s sun angle is the same as it was back on February 16, when the metro woke up to -15F. We salvage a breezy, blue-sky Tuesday with highs in the 50s. I’m counting my blessings, atmospheric and otherwise. Meanwhile a powerful Nor’easter may bring hurricane-force gusts to southern New England later today. California went from extreme drought to Biblical flooding in the meteorological blink of an eye: reports of mudslides, flooding, and 5-10 feet of snow in the mountains. With Canada cooling off rapidly, late October can bring jaw-dropping storms.
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